By JASMINE C. LEE and ALICIA PARLAPIANO for NYTimes

This election year, the political climate favors Democrats. President Trump is historically unpopular, and “generic ballot” polls, which are good predictors of the House popular vote, show that more voters would currently choose a Democrat over a Republican in their congressional districts.

But in the Senate, Democrats and the independents who caucus with them have significantly more seats to defend: 26 compared with eight held by Republicans. For Democrats to take control of the chamber, they must keep all of their seats and win two of the Republican seats in play. It is numerically possible, but there is little room for error.

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